Situation: I was asked to analyze rising churn for a subscription product after quarterly revenue dipped. Initial dashboards showed overall churn ~8%/month but anecdotal reports suggested specific customer groups were leaving faster.Task: Identify any high-risk segment, quantify the risk, persuade Product to run targeted retention actions, and measure impact.Action:- Data sources & filters: I joined billing, product-usage, and CRM tables (payments, feature_events, support_tickets). SQL filters limited to active subscribers in the last 12 months, excluding trial-only accounts and involuntary churn (payment failures).- Metrics and identification: I computed monthly churn rate, 30/60/90-day retention, and LTV. Using cohort analysis and a logistic regression, I found customers on the Basic plan who used <3 core-feature events/week and had 2+ support tickets in month 1 had churn 18% vs. baseline 8%.- SQL snippet used to create the segment:sql
SELECT user_id
FROM subscriptions s
JOIN usage u ON s.user_id = u.user_id
JOIN tickets t ON s.user_id = t.user_id
WHERE s.plan = 'Basic'
AND u.avg_weekly_events < 3
AND t.ticket_count_month1 >= 2
AND s.start_date BETWEEN DATEADD(month, -12, CURRENT_DATE) AND CURRENT_DATE;
- Visuals to convey risk: I produced a Tableau dashboard with (1) stacked cohort retention curves comparing segment vs. overall, (2) a heatmap of churn by plan × usage, and (3) a funnel showing drop-off after onboarding. I highlighted absolute and relative differences and projected lost revenue from the segment.- Convincing Product: I presented the dashboard, showed projected revenue loss (~$240k annualized from this segment), and recommended a 2-pronged experiment: proactive onboarding outreach + in-app nudges for feature activation targeted at the segment.- Measurement: We ran a 6-week A/B test where half the segment received interventions. Primary metric: 30-day retention; secondary: feature activation rate and revenue per user.Result:- Baseline (pre-intervention): segment 30-day churn = 18%; overall product churn = 8%.- Post-intervention (A group after 6 weeks): segment churn fell to 11% (absolute -7pp, relative -39%); control stayed ~17.5%. Feature activation rose from 22% to 46%; projected annualized revenue retained ≈ $160k.- I validated significance with a chi-squared test (p < 0.01) and recommended rolling the intervention to all Basic users with low usage.This taught me that combining behavioral signals with support data reveals actionable cohorts, and that clear visuals + revenue projection are critical to get Product buy-in.